Just as the Polar Vortex departed, Punxsutawney Phil weighed in with his annual prediction. The nation’s most famous groundhog did not see his shadow last weekend which means an early spring for all of us–maybe. The problem is Phil’s track record. You see, in the past decade, Phil has predicted a longer winter seven times and an early spring three times. He was only right about 40% of the time, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

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